Carbon dioxide, methane on the rise

Recent global monthly mean CO2 -- The 2007 rise in global carbon dioxide (CO2) concentrations is tied with 2005 as the third highest since atmospheric measurements began in 1958. The red line shows the trend together with seasonal variations. The black line indicates the trend that emerges when the seasonal cycle has been removed.A new report from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) is not surprising, but it is important: Global levels of carbon dioxide and methane both increased sharply in 2007.

Well, maybe the methane is surprising, since it rose last year for the first time since 1998. Industrialization in Asia and wetland emissions from the Arctic and the tropics are the likely methane sources. Could this be the first indication that Arctic permafrost is releasing large amounts of methane into the atmosphere? A NOAA scientist says it’s too soon to tell. You can read the NOAA press release here.

NOAA globally averaged CH4 -- Global methane (CH4) concentrations rose in 2007. The red line shows the trend together with seasonal variations. The black line indicates the trend that emerges when the seasonal cycle has been removed.

As for carbon dioxide, we all know it comes primarily from burning fossil fuels. Since 2000, however, the rate of increase of CO2 has accelerated, hitting 2 parts per million (ppm) or more several times — compared to a rate of 1.5 ppm per year in the 1980s. That means CO2 levels have been rising 25 percent faster in some of the years since 2000. Last year, the level jumped 2.4 ppm — tied with 2005 for the third-highest increase since measurements began in 1958.

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Where are the carbon dioxide sources in the United States?
A new database tracks CO2 sources at a scale 100 times more resolved than previous work. The database, called Vulcan, was built by scientists at Purdue University and contains data from the year 2002. You can get data for CO2 sources by county and state here. The map graphic below compares the total amount of CO2 emissions in each part of the country. It includes emissions from power producers, industry, mobile sources, residential, commercial and cement. Not included are non-road and aircraft emissions. Interesting, isn’t it? The eastern half of the country produces most, while parts of the West act like carbon sinks, soaking up a bit of the CO2.

Total emissions of carbon dioxide, 2002 -- The image above shows the complete Vulcan CO2 emissions (all sectors - those presented in the first three figures above plus residential, commercial, and cement) after it has been gridded to the common 10 km x 10 km Vulcan grid. The units are log base 10 of metric tonnes of carbon/gridcell/year. Given the dimensions of our common grid, this is a spatial area of 100 km2. This is a factor of 100x more resolved than previous work. Total US fossil fuel CO2 emissions for 2002 come to 1506 million metric tonnes of carbon/year. This is slightly lower than Energy Information Estimates (1580 MtC/year) due to the missing nonroad and aircraft emissions in the Vulcan inventory (they are coming soon!).<br />

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Dan Kulpinski is Earth & Sky's Washington Correspondent and a 10-year veteran of environmental journalism. Until recently he was programming director for AOL's Research & Learn site and wrote the AOL Down to Earth Blog. .

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